Book Notes: “The Art of the Long View” (Part 2) by Carlos Aboitiz

The process of building scenarios starts with looking for driving forces; the forces that influence the outcome of events. They are a device for honing your initial judgment, for helping you decide which factors will be significant and which factors will not. Whenever I look for driving forces I first run through a familiar litany of categories: Society, Technology, Economics, Politics, and Environment.