Book Notes: “The Art of the Long View” (Part 2) by Carlos Aboitiz
The process of building scenarios starts with looking for driving forces; the forces that influence the outcome of events. They are a device for honing your initial judgment, for helping you decide which factors will be significant and which factors will not. Whenever I look for driving forces I first run through a familiar litany of categories: Society, Technology, Economics, Politics, and Environment.
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